New Update :Risk of Military Clash Between Pakistan and India

The risk of a local military clash between Pakistan and India exists — expert Akbar Shahryar Khan from the Islamabad Policy Research Institute cautions. Following a deadly militant attack in Pahalgam, Kashmir, which claimed 26 lives, both nations have engaged in retaliatory measures, heightening the possibility of a limited military confrontation.

The Immediate Aftermath: Diplomatic and Military Responses

India’s Actions

In response to the Pahalgam attack, India has taken several steps:​

• Reduced its embassy staff in Islamabad by nearly hal.
• Declared Pakistani military advisers personae non gratae​.
• Closed the Attari border checkpoint​.
• Suspended water-sharing agreements with Pakistan​.
• Halted the issuance of visas to Pakistani citizens​.

Pakistan’s Countermeasures

Pakistan’s Security Council responded by:​

• Suspending all bilateral agreements with India​.
• Warning that any attempt by India to divert the flow of the Indus River would be considered an act of war.
• Closing its airspace to India.
• Shutting the Wagah border crossing.
• Declaring Indian defense, naval, and aviation advisers personae non gratae​.

---

Historical Context: Previous Clashes and Their Implications

The current tensions are reminiscent of past conflicts, such as the 2019 Pulwama attack, which led to airstrikes and heightened military readiness on both sides. These incidents underscore the volatility of the region and the potential for rapid escalation.

---

Expert Analysis: Potential for Limited Military Engagement

Akbar Shahryar Khan suggests that India may consider artillery shelling as a show of strength without crossing into full-scale war. However, any unilateral military move by India could trigger an immediate and proportional response from Pakistan, increasing the risk of a localized military clash.

---

Broader Geopolitical Ramifications

The escalating tensions between two nuclear-armed neighbors have global implications. The potential for conflict could disrupt regional stability and draw in other powers, such as China, which shares borders with both countries and has vested interests in the region.

Conclusion: Navigating a Path to Peace

The risk of a local military clash between Pakistan and India exists — expert warnings highlight the urgency for diplomatic engagement and conflict resolution. Both nations must prioritize dialogue and de-escalation to prevent further violence and ensure regional stability.